Fine-Capitulation
0x15a681d447124c90dbd85be526af18ca1611bf5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$42.1K
Total PnL
$-47.5K
Realised
$398.92
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
11657 shares @ 46.1¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.5K
$163.77
- NO
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5555 shares @ 86.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$4.7K
$-27.77
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4578 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$3.9K
$0.00
- NO
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10931 shares @ 32.9¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$3.3K
$-267.24
- NO
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3333 shares @ 95.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.1K
$-78.32
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
5555 shares @ 63.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.1K
$-444.40
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
24436 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$2.3K
$122.18
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16559 shares @ 7.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.7K
$538.17
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
44444 shares @ 8.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$-2.1K
- NO
Will James Rodríguez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2540 shares @ 44.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$-38.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$559.99Jun 13, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 13, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$7.60Jun 13, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$523.45Jun 13, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$5.70Jun 13, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$341.15Jun 13, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$7.60Jun 13, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$523.45Jun 13, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$3.85Jun 13, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$1.81Jun 13, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$0.60Jun 13, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$2.76Jun 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$0.77Jun 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$0.60Jun 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$4.21Jun 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$1.90Jun 13, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$1.19Jun 13, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$27.67Jun 13, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$5.72Jun 13, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $94.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 01:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.