Fresh-Man
0x15a6969c214fd7f475ec9bbc6dc7e86e88ea1f14
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$57.75
Total PnL
$-7.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023?
20 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$20.00
$6.80
- NO
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2024$20.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Zuck KO Musk?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2024$10.00
$2.00
- NO
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2023$7.75
$3.10
- NO
Will Trump be indicted twice more by August 31?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2023$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will $USDT depeg by August 31?
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2023$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Curve's founder get liquidated?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2023$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate?
43 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2023$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
ETH above $2,000 at end of August?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2023$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'?$4.65Sep 9, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zuck KO Musk?$8.00Aug 12, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS Ethereum ETF approved in 2023?$7.50Aug 11, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023?$13.20Aug 10, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLHuobi Insolvent in 2023?$12.45Aug 8, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.10Aug 8, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend the first RNC debate?$10.00Aug 7, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuobi Insolvent in 2023?$9.90Aug 7, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?$5.00Aug 7, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be indicted twice more by August 31?$7.00Aug 7, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH above $2,000 at end of August?$2.20Aug 7, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?$2.00Aug 7, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $USDT depeg by August 31?$3.00Aug 6, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curve's founder get liquidated?$1.00Aug 6, 22:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $6.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 6, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 9, 20:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".