Visible-Scheme
0x15a8346163fae23948dba75c69c75d7bdb33b95e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$9.93
Total PnL
$-281.41
Realised
$0.29
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
2277 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?
120 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
92 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-38.73
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
41 shares @ 24.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
29 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
28 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.77
- YES
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
24 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$19.23Jun 15, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$3.95Jun 10, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$9.44Jun 10, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$10.10Jun 10, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$10.18Jun 10, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$10.14Jun 10, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$10.16Jun 10, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$11.14Jun 10, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$39.40May 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?$60.90May 9, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$11.13May 6, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$7.13May 6, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?$103.39May 6, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.11May 3, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.16May 3, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.23May 3, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.49May 3, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$4.14May 3, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$3.37May 3, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$3.06May 3, 18:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $9.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 06:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.