Ugly-Cream
0x15aa6d3a0e3a61e44e2e0487d682713c3c212f4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.28
Realised
$1.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 5-10m views on day 1?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
460 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?
201 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 9?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
82 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 40 and 50 million views the first week?
73 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
25 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
24 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 9?$5.00Oct 9, 15:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$9.00Oct 9, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$5.00Oct 9, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$25.00Oct 9, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$8.33Sep 18, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in August?$0.03Aug 30, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$10.00Aug 22, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Aug 22, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$5.00Aug 22, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$1.62Aug 22, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?$58.78Aug 21, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?$9.00Aug 20, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$4.95Aug 20, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$5.77Aug 20, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?$1.00Aug 20, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$0.38Aug 20, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 10 and 20 million views the first week?$1.00Aug 20, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$1.25Aug 20, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$4.00Aug 19, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?$4.00Aug 19, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 15:05 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 9, 15:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".