Affectionate-Commodity
0x15ae626e89beccfa1d7810e56e1aa102411b72f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
118
Open notional
$4.96
Total PnL
$-391.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- BULLS
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.96
$2.58
- YES
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Cho Kuk be elected the next president of South Korea?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 9% and 10% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthony Davis win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ja Morant win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anton Pisaroglu win the Romanian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-17.5)$2.40Mar 30, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bulls (-4.5)$2.55Mar 28, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cavaliers (-4.5)$2.25Mar 27, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHeat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5$2.75Mar 27, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMBulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5$5.00Mar 27, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5$2.30Mar 25, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBulls vs. 76ers: O/U 239.5$2.65Mar 25, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5$6.00Mar 24, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5$3.06Mar 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 222.5$2.50Mar 22, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5$2.70Mar 22, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline$1.70Mar 21, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5$2.50Mar 21, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY1H Spread: Hornets (-10.5)$2.55Mar 21, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5$5.00Mar 21, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 117.5$2.05Mar 20, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-14.5)$2.70Mar 20, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5$4.30Mar 20, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMPistons vs. Wizards$3.59Mar 19, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Wizards$3.23Mar 17, 23:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 21:18 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".