Precious-Visor
0x15b0de7f9c0538179a748f8e02046426a0b3f885
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$23.38
Total PnL
$-59.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$20.32
$10.36
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.06
$-6.94
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in March?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
15 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 19, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 19, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$0.00Mar 19, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$7.20Mar 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?$10.00Mar 15, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in March?$1.00Mar 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 15, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$10.00Mar 15, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$45.00Feb 28, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 07:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $10.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 20:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.