Hollow-Chiffonier
0x15b17bb0a4af7d8e55b968e0e5de9a986a37a8e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.4K
Realised
$-364.29
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?
2230 shares @ 90.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 20?
1235 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-78.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 6?
1156 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-402.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 14?
1106 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-588.83
- YES
Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 15?
948 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-258.02
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
729 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-349.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 11?
694 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-215.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 15?
605 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-31.09
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
596 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-53.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$13.00May 26, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24?$5.00May 24, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 22?$5.00May 24, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 24?$0.50May 24, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 22?$50.00May 22, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 22?$42.00May 22, 02:54 UTC
- REWARD$0.25May 22, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?$99.99May 21, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$2.08May 21, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$2.87May 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$3.38May 21, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$1.27May 21, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$1.73May 21, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$0.55May 21, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$1.35May 21, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$2.43May 21, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$1.85May 21, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 22?$0.19May 21, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 22?$13.00May 21, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 22?$2.53May 21, 09:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 01:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.