Mellow-Sheet
0x15b3e7309095eb7e346d4957a330a92144f80c49
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$283.36
Total PnL
$-43.97
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
111 shares @ 90.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$110.63
$10.63
- NO
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
100 shares @ 92.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$100.00
$7.17
- ISRAEL
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
141 shares @ 70.8¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$70.63
$-29.37
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
20 shares @ 55.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$-8.90
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?
100 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-12.50
- NO
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
22 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$100.00Apr 24, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$300.00Apr 24, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?$100.00Apr 24, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$49.98Mar 4, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$9.29Mar 3, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$22.63Mar 3, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?$60.90Mar 3, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.71Mar 1, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$61.21Feb 28, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$182.09Feb 28, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$15.59Feb 28, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$58.06Feb 28, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iraq by February 28?$10.00Feb 28, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$100.00Feb 28, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$80.00Feb 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$50.00Feb 28, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$39.98Feb 28, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$100.00Feb 28, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$138.30Feb 28, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$130.00Feb 27, 17:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $83.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 02:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.