Failing-Conditioner
0x15b774c5c1eede9bda3601bb842851eadab53c38
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$273.17
Total PnL
$-0.40
Realised
$0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
261 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$244.35
$1.31
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 6.6¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$6.68
$1.68
- YES
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?
144 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$5.67
$0.09
- YES
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$4.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$4.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$4.02
$-0.98
- YES
Will Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$3.33
$-1.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.74May 11, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$5.01May 11, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$248.00May 7, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Washington Commanders win the 2026 NFC East?$5.12May 4, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North?$5.10May 4, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Orleans Saints win the 2026 NFC South?$5.11May 4, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$264.10May 2, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$216.56Apr 7, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by March 31?$216.56Apr 7, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$210.28Mar 18, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.00Feb 17, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?$5.00Feb 17, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$220.28Feb 17, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$0.00Feb 10, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$209.27Jan 17, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$79.20Jan 17, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$99.00Jan 17, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$229.07Dec 29, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$197.00Dec 19, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$1.24Nov 7, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $90.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 02:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".