Female-Dulcimer
0x15b9866efe381f721d82b69836a25acce5a8df1c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$605.64
Total PnL
$-99.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US strike on Mexico by January 31?
606 shares @ 91.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$605.64
$50.64
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19?
101 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$100.00Jan 12, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$555.00Jan 9, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?$508.42Jan 9, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?$500.00Jan 7, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$137.43Jan 5, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 16?$506.09Dec 19, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 16?$500.00Dec 16, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrown University shooter arrested by December 19?$50.00Dec 16, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on December 12?$113.64Dec 15, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 12?$100.00Dec 12, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?$513.77Dec 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$100.00Dec 10, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?$500.00Dec 10, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $300.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 18:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.