Awful-Factor
0x15bc33176896b18f755ac24faba343b44976549b
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.03
Total PnL
$-0.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?$1.00Jan 12, 02:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$2.00Jan 12, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$2.00Dec 27, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $1.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 27, 15:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 03:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.