Functional-Muscat
0x15bc816ef96dac5b7e4409f0b8b053ba3be82020
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-132.33
Realised
$3.79
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
136 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
108 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
68 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.66
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 9?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
65 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on November 24?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will "Run Away" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 9?
31 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
30 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 12PM ET$1.05May 26, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.05May 26, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.07May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.05May 17, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$2.64May 17, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$1.05May 17, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.81May 12, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$1.38May 12, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$2.07May 12, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$4.76May 2, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$3.08May 2, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.05May 2, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.05May 2, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.06May 2, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.07May 2, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.62May 2, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$1.05May 2, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.09May 2, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$2.09May 2, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.07May 2, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 16:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".