0x15bd4d0bab0cb9872d27d83b37b5582cf414a93d
0x15bd4d0bab0cb9872d27d83b37b5582cf414a93d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by September 30?
2109 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-23.20
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?
1100 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2025$0.00
$-345.00
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
1000 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-39.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?
500 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
500 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-175.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
450 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-49.50
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin March 25-31?
360 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-54.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on September 25?
300 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
260 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-49.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
200 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$8.23Jan 9, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.76Jan 9, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$11.01Jan 9, 18:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?$50.00Oct 6, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win on 2025-10-05?$53.00Oct 5, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-05?$51.00Oct 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?$30.00Oct 5, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$40.95Oct 5, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win on 2025-10-05?$65.00Oct 5, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$39.00Oct 1, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$29.95Sep 30, 10:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Parma vs. Torino end in a draw?$50.00Sep 30, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Dolphins$0.00Sep 30, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$98.04Sep 29, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parma vs. Torino end in a draw?$24.00Sep 29, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$47.01Sep 29, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Dolphins$4.20Sep 29, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMRavens vs. Chiefs$50.00Sep 29, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMPirates vs. Braves$50.00Sep 29, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPirates vs. Braves$32.00Sep 28, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $25.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".