Functional-Census
0x15bdb3616420bae939a78c749b9bd9eb6adc9078
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-660.94
Realised
$10.73
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- YES
Will Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?
186 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-71.08
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?
156 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?
125 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-74.62
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 24?
104 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-22.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
103 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?
100 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.93
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?
93 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-40.77
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?
70 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.09
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 11?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Mauritania: O/U 3.5$8.88Mar 28, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Pacers$4.00Mar 27, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Pacers$1.00Mar 27, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYClippers vs. Pacers$5.00Mar 27, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Mauritania: O/U 3.5$36.00Mar 27, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-03-27?$27.29Mar 27, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-03-27?$39.05Mar 27, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-03-27?$27.52Mar 27, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-03-27?$2.00Mar 27, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-03-27?$11.44Mar 27, 17:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win on 2026-03-27?$11.44Mar 27, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-03-27?$12.32Mar 27, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-03-27?$2.00Mar 27, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-03-27?$10.00Mar 27, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Austria (-1.5)$10.00Mar 27, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Russia (-2.5)$9.30Mar 27, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win on 2026-03-27?$3.50Mar 27, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Russia (-2.5)$10.00Mar 27, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27?$4.12Mar 27, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 27?$5.26Mar 27, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 01:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".