Definitive-Fratricide
0x15bf9b10dc38a79cfa5a9d057ca4fe3a13c3fd64
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$12.00
Total PnL
$-76.35
Realised
$59.91
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 4.8¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.00
$2.40
- NO
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?
2129 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-18.08
- YES
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
1898 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Kinetiq FDV above $200M one day after launch?
695 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.34
- YES
Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?
341 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?
311 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Over $20M committed to the Makina public sale?
257 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.40
- NO
Over 10,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?$4.60Dec 14, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?$25.50Dec 11, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Dec 10, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Dec 10, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?$35.89Dec 8, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?$20.50Dec 8, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?$0.35Dec 8, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $46.45Dec 7, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $90.00Dec 7, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $35.00Dec 7, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$58.54Dec 5, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$62.38Dec 5, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO1)$1.00Dec 4, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)$3.60Dec 4, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs Liquid (BO1)$3.00Dec 4, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)$1.98Dec 4, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)$0.22Dec 4, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)$2.10Dec 4, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Passion UA vs G2 (BO1)$5.00Dec 4, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Imperial vs TheMongolz (BO1)$8.20Dec 4, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 1, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 14, 21:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.