0x15c0fa6c3a3f04380586af981f904662fbe91d55
0x15c0fa6c3a3f04380586af981f904662fbe91d55
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$26.00
Total PnL
$-5.01
Realised
$1.67
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
14 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$14.00
$0.71
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
8 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$8.00
$0.18
- NO
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
4 shares @ 62.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$4.00
$1.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
8 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
6 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?
4 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
2 shares @ 70.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$0.20Jan 27, 18:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Jan 19, 17:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.00Jan 19, 11:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 18, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $0.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 15:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 18:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.