Parallel-Beanie
0x15c2c5b4681217a1e7adff74d545096769bf9c4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$937.88
Total PnL
$-603.76
Realised
$-5.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
386 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$368.05
$12.93
- NO
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?
222 shares @ 83.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$207.45
$23.30
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
160 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$155.76
$0.72
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
122 shares @ 92.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$115.23
$2.74
- NO
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31?
45 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.56
$-0.02
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
21 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$21.00
$0.15
- YES
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?
8050 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$20.13
$-36.23
- YES
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3806 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.71
$-9.51
- YES
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?
12033 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.10
- YES
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $32.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.