Worried-Effort
0x15c912e7b5230ee32032dcdbc865f57aa6c85a64
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$52.31
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$68.84
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?
77 shares @ 26.1¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.10
$1.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
37 shares @ 13.4¢·now 16.6¢·exp May 5, 2026$6.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
18 shares @ 27.8¢·now 34.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$6.11
$1.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?
122 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.2¢·exp May 4, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
101 shares @ 4.9¢·now 4.3¢·exp May 5, 2026$4.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 4?
25 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 4, 2026$2.60
$0.37
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
30 shares @ 16.8¢·now 6.3¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.86
$-3.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 4?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)
18 shares @ 22.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$1.10
$-2.90
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 4?
80 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 3?$0.0246m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on May 4?$2.3310h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 3?$2.0910h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C or higher on May 4?$2.0910h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C or below on May 4?$2.1010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on May 4?$2.0910h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 4?$5.2410h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.7010h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$19.1511h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$20.7311h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$20.8111h ago
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.9911h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$22.4711h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$18.6111h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$2.5611h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$2.0611h ago
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$20.7811h ago
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$18.6011h ago
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.1511h ago
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.0611h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12h ago
- Last active
- 46m ago
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".