Runny-Hatchet
0x15c973d7325cd6f75778487f95eaea315592d6d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$50.85
Total PnL
$-18.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$10.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$5.33
$0.01
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on April 9?
1 shares @ 79.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$1.24
$0.25
- NO
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.03
$0.03
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$5.32Apr 9, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Rate Hike by April 2026 Meeting?$1.00Apr 9, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 9, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?$1.00Apr 9, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?$1.00Apr 9, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.00Apr 9, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 9, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?$1.00Apr 9, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 9, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.00Apr 9, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.00Apr 9, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on April 9?$1.00Apr 9, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1.00Apr 9, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of April 6 above $265?$1.00Apr 9, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 6 above $390?$1.00Apr 9, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Apr 9, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$1.00Apr 9, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Apr 9, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$1.00Apr 9, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on April 12?$1.00Apr 9, 03:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 06:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 03:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.