Lively-Hound
0x15c9a0133c33bf93e4d654a2c1ad5fe4bff17ff1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.91
Realised
$6.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's robot race video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?$2.48Nov 28, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$2.48Nov 28, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's robot race video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?$2.00Nov 28, 20:30 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$2.00Nov 28, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's robot race video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?$3.43Nov 28, 16:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$3.43Nov 28, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$3.18Nov 28, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$2.00Nov 28, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?$2.00Nov 28, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$5.00Nov 28, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's robot race video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?$10.87Nov 28, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's robot race video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1?$1.00Nov 28, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$2.31Nov 28, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$3.69Nov 28, 00:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$3.69Nov 28, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$4.89Nov 28, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$0.00Nov 28, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$0.00Nov 28, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$0.00Nov 28, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$3.00Nov 28, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $9.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.