Tight-Bracelet
0x15cd7709637b9e41af9c206feba67b7751a453fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$138.26
Total PnL
$91.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
138 shares @ 16.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$137.50
$115.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
217 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.76
$-9.24
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
565 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
138 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?
103 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tariff" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$2.00Jan 19, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "EU" or "European Union" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$2.00Jan 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$2.00Jan 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during meetings with Slovak Prime Minister?$4.00Jan 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$5.00Jan 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$10.00Jan 17, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$22.00Jan 14, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $6.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 14, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 18:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.