Runny-Rug
0x15ce157f84a7cdf9f73e5dbe33f79e79e1c26c45
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.91
Total PnL
$-557.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
5 shares @ 93.7¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the March meeting?
832 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-91.51
- REAL MADRID CF
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
364 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-61.82
- OVER
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5
304 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-225.00
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $305?
221 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-30.96
- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 24-30?
188 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-146.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 20?
128 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?$5.21May 7, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $140 in March?$20.31May 7, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?$20.79May 7, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of March?$110.45May 7, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 79 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$125.80May 7, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iowa State advance to the Quarterfinals?$238.72May 7, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 end of March?$292.70May 7, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $350?$574.96May 7, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?$626.96May 7, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 24-30?$146.80Mar 27, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 79 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$15.10Mar 27, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of March 2026?$514.11Mar 26, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google (GOOGL) close at $285-$290 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$706.55Mar 26, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 end of March?$106.14Mar 26, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 end of March?$254.65Mar 25, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iowa State advance to the Quarterfinals?$90.71Mar 25, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?$5.13Mar 25, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $305?$30.96Mar 24, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $350?$540.46Mar 24, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the March meeting?$91.51Mar 23, 16:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $166.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 20:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".