Delightful-Fedora
0x15cf34de178602383b486aece801f271e70c0f55
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$87.33
Total PnL
$-530.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
20 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$20.00
$0.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
18 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$17.99
$9.36
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
16 shares @ 77.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$15.53
$3.48
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
12 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$11.74
$0.05
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$10.00
$5.10
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
6 shares @ 91.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$6.28
$0.53
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on March 28?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$5.79
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-489.97
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Celtics
75 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
40 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-19.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C on March 28?$5.78Mar 27, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$2.88Mar 27, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$2.02Mar 27, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.92Mar 27, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$2.30Mar 27, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$2.30Mar 27, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$7.83Mar 27, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$0.80Mar 27, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$19.20Mar 27, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.39Mar 27, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$45.69Mar 27, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$4.26Mar 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$19.20Mar 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$5.75Mar 10, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$12.05Mar 10, 14:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $200 in February?$45.00Mar 10, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$11.69Feb 28, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 12:33 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.62Feb 2, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$9.87Feb 1, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $14.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 13:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 12:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.