Legal-Thousand
0x15d16ecd2c913669f24190273c7bcec65e4e2672
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$635.70
Total PnL
$-1.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 20-26?$637.07Jul 21, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$611.38Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$610.25Jun 8, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$610.52Jun 2, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?$607.69May 5, 13:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$639.45Apr 2, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$636.24Mar 3, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$14.32Mar 2, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$14.30Feb 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$636.22Feb 27, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$635.58Feb 27, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$635.58Feb 24, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$634.94Feb 23, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$629.94Feb 21, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.00Feb 21, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$162.80Feb 20, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$250.16Feb 20, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?$203.70Feb 20, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$616.62Feb 19, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$79.70Feb 15, 08:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $456.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 28, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.