Palatable-Suitcase
0x15d3dbf740fbbe6d3ba021b85b2aff0b400d5122
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-312.58
Realised
$-105.44
Win rate
0%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 13?
567 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-31.55
- NO
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
393 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-59.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 1?
209 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?
38 shares @ 51.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.44
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
37 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.45
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
31 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
19 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 13?$1.05Jul 13, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 13?$10.32Jul 13, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 13?$15.90Jul 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 13?$4.77Jul 13, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 12?$2.80Jul 12, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?$13.80Jul 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?$2.00Jul 12, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?$49.92Jul 12, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?$5.00Jul 12, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?$23.95Jul 12, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 12?$6.14Jul 12, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?$80.76Jul 12, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 9?$1.04Jul 9, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?$0.28Jul 9, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?$11.20Jul 9, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 9?$31.02Jul 9, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 9?$5.15Jul 9, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 9?$20.38Jul 9, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?$11.21Jul 8, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 8?$44.22Jul 8, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 19:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.