Wallet digest

active

Activity score

69/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$84.20

Total PnL

$-181.69

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 58

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$9.80
$4.80
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026
$9.09
$4.09
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$8.82
$5.82
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$8.57
$5.57
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
8 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$7.50
$4.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$7.32
$4.32
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$7.14
$4.14
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
7 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026
$6.67
$3.67
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026
$6.52
$3.52
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026
$6.52
$3.52

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Mar 25, 14:34 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Mar 25, 14:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$19.32Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$19.32Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$4.92Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$7.20Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$7.20Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$9.37Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$9.95Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$0.47Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$7.65Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$4.94Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$6.24Mar 25, 02:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$3.93Mar 5, 10:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$6.05Mar 5, 10:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$9.98Mar 5, 09:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$10.00Mar 5, 01:45 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Mar 5, 00:24 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$0.00Mar 5, 00:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$9.97Mar 4, 23:15 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry98 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk51 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 37
Avg trade size: $8.08
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 4, 02:34 UTC
Last active: Mar 25, 14:34 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:37:06 UTC·src:Polymarket Data