Webbed-Magic
0x15d93261ee8b43844f503966d693cd75836d6b54
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-10.82
Win rate
16%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- BETBOOM TEAM
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
19760 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-19.76
- MIRRA ANDREEVA
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on May 10?
1722 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-34.43
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on May 10?
1722 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-34.43
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on May 10?
1722 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-34.43
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 10?
1722 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-34.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 5?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 22?$0.00Jul 24, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on July 22?$0.00Jul 24, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on July 24?$0.09Jul 24, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 24?$0.06Jul 24, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 24?$0.08Jul 24, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 25?$0.11Jul 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on July 25?$0.19Jul 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on July 25?$0.13Jul 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 24?$0.22Jul 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 24?$0.22Jul 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 24?$0.27Jul 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C or higher on July 25?$0.12Jul 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 25?$0.21Jul 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on July 24?$0.09Jul 24, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 24?$0.22Jul 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 24?$0.48Jul 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on July 24?$0.38Jul 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 24?$0.38Jul 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 25?$0.41Jul 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 24?$0.37Jul 24, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
48/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
16% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 08:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 21:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.