Conventional-Bunkhouse
0x15d99612e2b446e80e8c9b5673bf30c28f6eea68
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$40.03
Total PnL
$0.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.06
$0.06
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$6.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.46
$0.02
- NO
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
5 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.45
$0.05
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
5 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.32
$0.06
- NO
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.30
$0.04
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.24
$0.24
- NO
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.16
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$4.85Dec 26, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$5.00Dec 17, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$6.00Dec 17, 13:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$6.01Dec 17, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Weeknd be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$6.12Dec 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?$6.00Nov 15, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$6.10Nov 15, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?$5.40Oct 23, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.26Oct 23, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$0.83Oct 23, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$5.00Sep 18, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$6.00Sep 18, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?$5.26Aug 19, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.44Aug 19, 02:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$1.20Aug 19, 02:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.12Jun 8, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Superman' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.05Jun 8, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$0.00Jun 8, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?$1.06Jun 8, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel qualify for the Eurovision 2025 grand final?$1.16Jun 8, 11:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 13:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 26, 06:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".