Irresponsible-Tracking
0x15dba4bf46e4080d49d34d448ec0141f1e4a4788
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?
95 shares @ 10.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
58 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Waste" 3+ times during his DOJ appearance on Friday?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waste" 3+ times during his DOJ appearance on Friday?$2.17Mar 14, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?$0.02Feb 19, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple launch a MacBook on February 19?$0.01Feb 19, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple launch an iMac on February 19?$0.06Feb 19, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Dune: Part Two" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$1.00Feb 19, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple launch an iMac on February 19?$1.00Feb 19, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-18?$0.00Feb 19, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be out as Head of DOGE in Trump's first 100 days?$0.00Feb 19, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-18?$1.00Feb 18, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be out as Head of DOGE in Trump's first 100 days?$3.00Feb 18, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich vs. Celtic end in a draw?$2.38Feb 18, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich vs. Celtic end in a draw?$2.00Feb 18, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple launch an iPhone SE on February 19?$2.00Feb 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple launch a MacBook on February 19?$2.00Feb 18, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $4.00Feb 14, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?$1.00Feb 14, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?$10.00Feb 14, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".