Watchful-Shareholder
0x15dc80bf3994b45a6f4289fad76f47e4d2621f17
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$10.34
Total PnL
$-0.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.49
$1.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 2?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$3.85
$0.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on April 2?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 2, 15:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 2, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 2, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 2, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 2, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 2, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 2, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 2?$1.00Apr 2, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 2?$3.00Apr 2, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on April 2?$3.00Apr 2, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 1?$2.00Mar 31, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 1?$2.00Mar 31, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 1?$2.00Mar 31, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on March 30?$10.80Mar 31, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 29?$0.00Mar 31, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 29?$0.00Mar 31, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 29?$11.49Mar 31, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 29?$18.64Mar 31, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on March 29?$0.00Mar 31, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 1?$5.00Mar 31, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 01:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 15:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".