First-Loyalty
0x15e34a04d79a0684b87f6f63c7129c5cc27e414b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$5.15
Total PnL
$-14.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1980 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-990.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 26, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 21, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$1.02Jan 21, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$1.00Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$1.00Jan 15, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYDelcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$1.02Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin all time high before 2026?$1.02Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid all time high by December 31?$1.02Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Carlsen apologize to Hans Niemann in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMRainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.04Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.05Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.06Jan 7, 06:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $27.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 09:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 08:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.