Silly-Saloon
0x15e4c371b76300222de14d46951f206b31f5ab58
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-327.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?
58735 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-287.16
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 18?
52344 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-640.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 17?
19807 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-52.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 17?
7329 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-49.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
2114 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
2000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 17?
1645 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-63.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 12PM ET
300 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
25 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$4.19Jan 21, 00:57 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.72Jan 19, 00:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Jan 18, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Jan 18, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$7.94Jan 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Jan 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.50Jan 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Jan 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.16Jan 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.21Jan 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.01Jan 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.18Jan 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$2.00Jan 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.10Jan 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.20Jan 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.20Jan 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.20Jan 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.12Jan 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$4.08Jan 18, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$34.69Jan 18, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 00:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".