Glaring-Cocktail
0x15e513f95fea8775f80adf4fc847d9e2c6919749
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-204.00
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
6740 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-371.41
- NO
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
3560 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?
3550 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 14?
866 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-85.82
- NO
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
853 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will no one dissent the January Fed decision?
748 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-32.64
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
625 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
- BUKAUSKAS
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
587 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-33.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$0.00Mar 3, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$0.00Mar 3, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.25Mar 1, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$0.80Mar 1, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.45Mar 1, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$2.00Feb 25, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$1.57Feb 25, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.58Feb 25, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$1.00Feb 25, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?$2.00Feb 25, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$4.00Feb 25, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Mr. Speaker" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$7.99Feb 25, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$13.63Feb 25, 01:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$13.62Feb 25, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$0.01Feb 24, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$10.03Feb 24, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$5.00Feb 24, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$5.00Feb 24, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$2.00Feb 24, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$3.00Feb 24, 17:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 20:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 21:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".