Hard-To-Find-Security
0x15efe7630ad2157775306d5abb1ca3f8b958a4b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$102.82
Total PnL
$-10.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$52.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?
13 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.00
$0.00
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$10.06
$0.06
- NO
Will "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 26, 2026$9.82
$-0.18
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.73
$-0.27
- NO
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 77.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
5 shares @ 84.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.36
$-0.64
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
5 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.19
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.02May 20, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$10.05May 20, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Swapped" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$10.01May 20, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31?$13.01May 20, 14:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 24?$3.95May 18, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 24?$5.06May 18, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 24?$7.14May 18, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on April 24?$8.02May 18, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 24?$10.38May 18, 15:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $488.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".