Runny-Calico
0x15f3ac7935596518419028b747f69df5c3642688
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-822.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
437 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
437 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
437 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
437 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
437 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
437 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
437 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?
437 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-48.51
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
400 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.72
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
400 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-13.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on March 28?$437.57Apr 27, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on March 28?$437.13Mar 27, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$437.00Mar 12, 02:46 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets March 9 - March 11, 2026?$437.00Mar 11, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$436.56Mar 11, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?$129.87Mar 11, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?$6.80Mar 11, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?$9.50Mar 11, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?$138.46Mar 11, 04:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?$2.09Mar 11, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?$10.00Mar 11, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?$297.00Mar 11, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$400.00Mar 11, 02:06 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets March 3 - March 10, 2026?$400.00Mar 10, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$398.00Mar 10, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?$406.69Mar 10, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?$18.02Mar 10, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?$197.80Mar 10, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?$10.68Mar 10, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 10?$197.80Mar 10, 07:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $226.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".