Gigantic-Lobster
0x15f58841acd3d5f54546668e1b4d293e4b93c52b
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$71.28
Total PnL
$0.82
Realised
$-0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
12 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$12.18
$0.18
- NO
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
7 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$7.01
$0.09
- NO
Will Marcel Ciolacu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$6.61
$0.01
- NO
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?
5 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$5.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$4.53
$0.03
- NO
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$4.44
$0.04
- NO
Will the Liberal Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$4.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elena Lasconi win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$3.42
$0.02
- NO
Will the Conservative Party win the third most seats in the next Canadian Election?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$3.30
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$5.00Apr 18, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by over 12%?$12.00Apr 18, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?$3.01Apr 18, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?$4.42Apr 18, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?$4.50Apr 18, 02:48 UTC
- REDEEMNottingham Forest wins the Premier League?$6.61Apr 18, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$21.52Apr 7, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?$2.20Apr 7, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$2.00Apr 4, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?$4.40Apr 4, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sacramento Kings win the Western Conference?$3.00Apr 4, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?$4.40Apr 4, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?$2.20Apr 4, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcel Ciolacu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?$6.60Apr 4, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elena Lasconi win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?$3.40Apr 4, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYNottingham Forest wins the Premier League?$6.60Apr 3, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal wins the Premier League?$2.00Apr 3, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trae Young lead the NBA in Assists?$4.50Apr 3, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$2.10Apr 3, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$3.00Apr 3, 04:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $48.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 02:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.