Firsthand-Character
0x15f68729eebefa3318fe101bbc3189949a834748
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$19.14
Total PnL
$0.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
7 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$6.73
$0.13
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
6 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$6.39
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$6.02
$0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be 8% or less in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?$6.60Jun 26, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$6.36Jun 26, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?$1.26Jun 26, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$2.54Jun 26, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$5.01Jun 26, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$13.21Jun 26, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?$1.20Apr 23, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?$2.50Mar 20, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jagmeet Singh be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$13.20Mar 20, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?$4.40Mar 20, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$13.51Mar 20, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League?$4.39Feb 8, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?$6.00Feb 8, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?$13.50Feb 8, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEM100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before February?$1.03Feb 8, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.20Feb 8, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$1.35Feb 8, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.68Feb 8, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$2.63Feb 8, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$5.00Jan 20, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $547.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 09:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".