Improbable-Patron
0x15f98e97b65d1be7c56cf44e3c4066e2d76f93a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET
3156 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
3040 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1726 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-863.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
1658 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-829.00
- DOWN
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 5?
15 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.70
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.15Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$7.34Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 5?$19.00Apr 20, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 5?$23.00Apr 20, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on February 5?$11.50Feb 5, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on February 5?$11.02Feb 5, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$3.2KJan 26, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$1.6KJan 26, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$7.84Jan 26, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$2.50Jan 26, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 11PM ET$1.5KJan 26, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$3.2KJan 26, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.5KJan 25, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.6KJan 25, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMAdobe (ADBE) Up or Down After Earnings?$18.00Jan 25, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAdobe (ADBE) Up or Down After Earnings?$9.00Dec 5, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on December 5?$5.70Dec 5, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$829.00Nov 19, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$863.00Nov 19, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on November 18?$1.6KNov 19, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $692.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 18, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".