Same-Total
0x15fa8235bb8c949ae6ab7e60d0c2d47227da0d7c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-12.61
Win rate
11%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
943 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.43
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
301 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.01
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
289 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.38
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
109 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
102 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-18.98
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
100 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.15
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
84 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.61
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
76 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-18.94
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
73 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-14.13
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
71 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-18.95
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.47Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$12.73Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.47Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$13.90Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.32Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.34Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.79Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$13.20Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$35.01Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$24.32Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$22.33Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$19.36Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$20.58Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.78Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$12.81Jun 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$20.79Jun 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$20.17Jun 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.54Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$19.65Jun 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$21.37Jun 5, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $4.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.