Sugary-Price
0x15ff6bef8028cfce67c0389359d74c515b4a7521
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$28.03
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
30000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 29?
3030 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
694 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
402 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-269.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 14?
375 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on June 14?
272 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
189 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-138.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
168 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
161 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.63
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 18?$106.26Jul 19, 01:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 18?$236.23Jul 19, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 18?$100.32Jul 18, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 18?$100.30Jul 18, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 18?$201.54Jul 18, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 17?$208.22Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 17?$200.41Jul 17, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?$122.26Jul 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?$100.92Jul 17, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$385.26Jul 14, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$376.10Jul 14, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$10.08Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$18.54Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$31.09Jul 14, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$102.10Jul 14, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$458.02Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$15.44Jul 12, 03:35 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$6.72Jul 12, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$305.17Jul 12, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$92.92Jul 12, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $140.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 23:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 01:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.