Scared-Tripod
0x1603fd1b7276054cdd9bec8d2310878b7dba301c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-9.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Trump and Zelenskyy not shake hands on October 17?
22393 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-84.13
- YES
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?
1315 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-249.84
- YES
Will BK Häcken win on 2025-11-06?
714 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
700 shares @ 77.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-543.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
300 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-6.90
- YES
Will Trump say "Ukraine" or "Ukrainian" 10+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
200 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-80.15
- YES
Will anyone say "Inflation" during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?
200 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-132.00
- YES
Will anyone say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?
158 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-34.76
- YES
Will anyone say "Jew" or "Muslim" or "Christian" 30+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?-P817
127 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-20.31
- NO
Will Trump say "Stupid" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
120 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-71.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-31?$249.84Jan 31, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$599.89Nov 28, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$215.80Nov 25, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$586.94Nov 10, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$30.21Nov 9, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$28.78Nov 9, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$100.00Nov 9, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$200.00Nov 8, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$177.11Nov 7, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$82.89Nov 7, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BK Häcken win on 2025-11-06?$100.00Nov 6, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BK Häcken win on 2025-11-06?$100.00Nov 6, 19:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$170.45Nov 6, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?$244.15Oct 26, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?$0.00Oct 23, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?$0.00Oct 23, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?$27.19Oct 23, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$15.30Oct 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?$152.70Oct 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Trump" 20+ times during next White House press briefing?$19.85Oct 23, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $90.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 18:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".