Wallet digest

Activity score

78/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$12.48

Total PnL

$-0.79

Realised

$0.55

Win rate

100%

12 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 14

YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026
$1.09
$0.09
YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$1.08
$0.11
NO
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on April 28?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$1.08
$0.14
NO
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026
$1.07
$0.06
YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$1.05
$0.04
NO
Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-26?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026
$1.04
$0.04
NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 28?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$1.03
$0.03
NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on April 28?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$1.01
$0.01
NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 28?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$1.01
$0.01
NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 28?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$1.01
$0.01

Recent activity

REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:36 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:35 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:35 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:35 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:35 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:34 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:34 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:34 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:34 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:34 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:33 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:33 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:19 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:19 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:19 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:19 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:19 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:19 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:19 UTC
REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on April 28?$0.00May 3, 17:19 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity0 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence40 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry0 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk32 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 0
Avg trade size: $0.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: May 3, 16:06 UTC
Last active: May 3, 17:36 UTC
Win rate sample: 12 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 23:45:12 UTC·src:Polymarket Data