Red-Hearthside
0x16069edc38b409a2fc6c6ee8aaeae98dad06a53f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$119.78
Total PnL
$-49.96
Realised
$64.79
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
120 shares @ 77.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$119.78
$26.57
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
547 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
182 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
41 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.77
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
29 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.70
- YES
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?
16 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- YES
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Liverpool FC?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$93.21Apr 9, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$45.49Apr 9, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$47.72Apr 9, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$137.26Apr 9, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Liverpool FC?$21.62Apr 9, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$70.00Apr 9, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$0.00Apr 9, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$37.16Apr 9, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$30.00Apr 8, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?$2.00Apr 8, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Liverpool FC?$2.00Apr 8, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Liverpool FC?$1.00Apr 8, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$10.00Apr 8, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$20.00Apr 8, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$114.78Apr 8, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$36.53Apr 8, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$47.92Apr 8, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$5.00Apr 8, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$50.00Apr 8, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Apr 7, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $56.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 14:05 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 15:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.