0x1606bfc1c46d8d87f1bc6de58c4c1d9b03b3a262
0x1606bfc1c46d8d87f1bc6de58c4c1d9b03b3a262
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$16.52
Total PnL
$-0.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?
7 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$6.90
$0.01
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 20?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$4.85
$-0.15
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 20?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$4.77
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.73Jun 18, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.54Jun 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$6.89Jun 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 20?$5.00Jun 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 20?$5.00Jun 18, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMX banned in U.K. by March 31?$16.67Jun 18, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$25.45Jun 18, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$26.00Jun 18, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$33.00Jun 18, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$32.93Apr 20, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$25.82Apr 20, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$25.30Mar 17, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYX banned in U.K. by March 31?$16.50Mar 17, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$17.00Mar 17, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$20.00Mar 17, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$32.00Mar 17, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$35.00Mar 17, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.50Mar 17, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: Maduro capture staged?$15.78Mar 3, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $27.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 10:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.