Cheap-Headlight
0x1606ca3d16364d3c4a34296a4d7b40b10b7d460b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
101
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$37.64
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 101- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
365 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-164.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
358 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-196.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11PM ET
319 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-98.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
300 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-195.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
274 shares @ 72.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-197.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
254 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-100.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7PM ET
240 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-98.54
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7AM ET
223 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-98.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4AM ET
220 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-76.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11AM ET
209 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-98.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$7.42Jul 15, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$7.47Jul 15, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$3.83Jul 15, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$3.72Jul 15, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$2.07Jul 15, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$10.38Jul 15, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.21Jul 15, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$10.51Jul 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$10.13Jul 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$11.04Jul 15, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$10.26Jul 15, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$5.20Jul 15, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$7.16Jul 15, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.21Jul 15, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.03Jul 15, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$5.12Jul 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$7.61Apr 26, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$48.49Apr 26, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$48.60Apr 26, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$46.36Apr 26, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $47.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 10:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.