Silver-Raffle
0x160c5a1476043265c3529835f8dddafdd7d6f8a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$3.74
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
551 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.51
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
503 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-40.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
249 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
226 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
208 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
208 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.31
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
200 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
191 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.31
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
187 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-36.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$9.20Jul 18, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.07Jul 18, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$5.16Jul 18, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$1.05Jul 18, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.05Jul 18, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.63Jul 18, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$1.05Jul 18, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.79Jul 18, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.09Jul 18, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$1.03Jul 18, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$1.02Jul 18, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$2.11Jul 18, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.11Jul 18, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.01Jul 18, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.72Jul 18, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$11.33Jul 18, 17:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 04:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.