Hot-Peony
0x16149d22d0b7abc32f953455225b7f30e43af1d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
72
Open notional
$77.78
Total PnL
$-178.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 19?
56 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$56.00
$1.68
- NO
Will MINHxDYNASTY win the Legend Trade Series?
21 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$21.12
$2.96
- YES
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
57 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.66
$-0.88
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on December 9?
274 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.32
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 11?
273 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-4.91
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on December 8?
270 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 10?
266 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 14?
266 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.79
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?
262 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-3.07
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on November 19?
253 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $80 on April 27?$1.43Apr 28, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on November 17?$0.00Apr 28, 01:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.26Apr 20, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 19?$54.32Apr 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 Week of April 13 2026?$1.80Apr 16, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MINHxDYNASTY win the Legend Trade Series?$18.16Apr 15, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$69.13Apr 15, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 13?$68.09Apr 13, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 1?$2.82Apr 1, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 30?$0.00Apr 1, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on April 1?$1.29Mar 31, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $120 November 10-16?$0.00Mar 31, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMFTSE 100 (UKX) Up or Down on November 11?$0.00Mar 29, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on March 28?$1.52Mar 28, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 27?$90.20Mar 28, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 27?$0.20Mar 26, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 27?$88.47Mar 26, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 23?$1.50Mar 23, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 17?$81.25Mar 21, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 17?$78.00Mar 17, 07:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $29.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 20:28 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 01:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".