0x1618fce353459ae32eb7989f6d4472540631a456
0x1618fce353459ae32eb7989f6d4472540631a456
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-289.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
909 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
755 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?
300 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
280 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Opensea launch a token by October 31?
257 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in May?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by 2025?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$2.04Dec 3, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$12.21Dec 3, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-05?$16.67Nov 12, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05?$17.05Nov 12, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-05?$15.00Nov 3, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-11-05?$15.00Nov 3, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?$25.00Nov 3, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?$25.00Nov 3, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$89.43Nov 3, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$88.15Oct 29, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$50.00Oct 29, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$10.00Oct 29, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 29, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$10.00Oct 29, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dancing" during Malaysia events on October 26?$2.00Oct 26, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China in 2025?$10.00Oct 26, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$10.00Oct 26, 13:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Chainsaw Man – The Movie: Reze Arc" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 14m?$124.78Oct 25, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$37.50Oct 25, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$31.50Oct 24, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $28.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 10, 07:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 07:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".