Open-Sneeze
0x161cc9641ff9f6712f33bad06bcbb381a5a3fd84
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump lead in RCP on Sept 27?
375 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2024$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300 or more times?
215 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2024$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Sept 27?
191 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2024$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
$BTC dips below $40k before October?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ethereum dips below $2,000 by Sept 30?
82 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Kamala lead in RCP by 0.5-0.9 on Sept 27?
71 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- NO
Will Donald Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Georgia speech?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times?
16 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump say "Social Security" during his Georgia speech?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Caroline Ellison sentenced to 48-59 months in prison?
7 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Social Security" during his Georgia speech?$1.00Sep 24, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his Georgia speech?$1.00Sep 24, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 250-274 times?$5.00Sep 23, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Sept 27?$2.00Sep 23, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300 or more times?$30.00Sep 23, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMBuccaneers vs. Broncos$0.00Sep 23, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMTitans vs. Packers$0.00Sep 23, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMSaints vs. Eagles$0.00Sep 23, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMBrowns vs. Giants$0.00Sep 23, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMSteelers vs. Chargers$0.00Sep 23, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCaroline Ellison sentenced to 48-59 months in prison?$0.10Sep 22, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead in RCP by 0.5-0.9 on Sept 27?$0.50Sep 22, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Sept 27?$0.50Sep 22, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lead in RCP on Sept 27?$0.50Sep 22, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaints vs. Eagles$0.10Sep 22, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSteelers vs. Chargers$0.10Sep 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrowns vs. Giants$0.10Sep 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYTitans vs. Packers$0.10Sep 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBuccaneers vs. Broncos$0.10Sep 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300 or more times?$5.00Sep 22, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 22, 19:53 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 24, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.