Leading-Complication
0x16253279caa3a6b886db76eecbf1e68850e21156
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$48.77
Total PnL
$-337.95
Realised
$-131.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 51°F or below on May 30?
49 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$48.77
$0.05
- CAVALIERS
Celtics vs. Cavaliers
247 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-131.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on March 13?
76 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-76.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 51°F or below on May 30?$48.72May 28, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$127.13Mar 31, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$127.00Mar 21, 09:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Mar 20, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$521.79Mar 19, 10:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 19, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$522.32Mar 18, 08:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$574.43Mar 17, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$575.02Mar 17, 06:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Mar 17, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$572.80Mar 16, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$573.38Mar 16, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Grizzlies$171.21Mar 13, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Heat$185.68Mar 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Grizzlies$113.00Mar 12, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 15°C or below on March 13?$76.00Mar 12, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Heat$128.00Mar 12, 05:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Mar 12, 00:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on March 11?$35.10Mar 11, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $343.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 15:18 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.